Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.050461 0.058877 0.068122 0.079010 0.091462 0.105239 0.121614
2025-03-16 0.036773 0.047504 0.060388 0.076921 0.097483 0.122125 0.153789
2025-03-23 0.030103 0.042513 0.058611 0.080835 0.110500 0.148483 0.200507
2025-03-30 0.024224 0.037122 0.055068 0.081523 0.119111 0.170106 0.243908
2025-04-06 0.019211 0.031775 0.050431 0.079636 0.123545 0.186279 0.281614
2025-04-13 0.015585 0.027671 0.046727 0.078237 0.128088 0.202680 0.321043
2025-04-20 0.013851 0.026176 0.046656 0.082167 0.140856 0.232191 0.382505
2025-04-27 0.012265 0.024591 0.046108 0.085107 0.152221 0.260501 0.444726
2025-05-04 0.010195 0.021716 0.042863 0.082936 0.154742 0.274808 0.485888
2025-05-11 0.008707 0.019634 0.040655 0.082176 0.159394 0.292805 0.534437
2025-05-18 0.007288 0.017401 0.037784 0.079722 0.160609 0.304873 0.573801
2025-05-25 0.006205 0.015649 0.035548 0.078107 0.163048 0.319107 0.617908
2025-06-01 0.005486 0.014586 0.034596 0.078992 0.170509 0.343397 0.682792
2025-06-08 0.004608 0.012964 0.032196 0.076559 0.171170 0.355188 0.725950
2025-06-15 0.004294 0.012662 0.032656 0.080268 0.184653 0.392517 0.820176
2025-06-22 0.003814 0.011829 0.031758 0.080852 0.191667 0.417861 0.893522
2025-06-29 0.003260 0.010668 0.029884 0.078928 0.193051 0.432048 0.946118
2025-07-06 0.002814 0.009705 0.028329 0.077514 0.195346 0.448213 1.003906
2025-07-13 0.002665 0.009588 0.028923 0.081396 0.210037 0.491470 1.120440
2025-07-20 0.002486 0.009337 0.029120 0.084304 0.222760 0.531561 1.233379
2025-07-27 0.002138 0.008457 0.027440 0.082147 0.223210 0.545021 1.290916
2025-08-03 0.001884 0.007825 0.026352 0.081391 0.226948 0.566019 1.366243
2025-08-10 0.001615 0.007063 0.024738 0.078958 0.226205 0.576772 1.419825